Hobart Utd.vs
Olympia Warriors
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/9/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Hobart Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 6.00 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olympia Warriors
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
7.1%
Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 30 · avg 1.40/6.00
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60