GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/9/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Hobart Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 6.00 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympia Warriors

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

7.1%

Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart Utd.WLLLL

GF 7 · GA 30 · avg 1.40/6.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Olympia WarriorsWWLWL

GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart Utd.Olympia Warriors
75.0Attack92.2
0.0Defence45.1
31.3Form64.7
31.3Power65.3
2.61xG4.50
View match centre →