GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/11/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Hobart Utd. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart City

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

6.8%

Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart Utd.DDLLL

GF 8 · GA 25 · avg 1.60/5.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart CityWDDWW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart Utd.Hobart City
75.0Attack88.9
0.0Defence40.0
31.3Form57.8
31.3Power61.1
2.90xG4.50
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