Hobart Utd.vs
Hobart City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/11/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Hobart Utd. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hobart City
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
6.8%
Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 25 · avg 1.60/5.00
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60