Hobart Utd.vs
Glenorchy Knights II
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/23/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hobart Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4
Hobart Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart Utd. hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 96% BTTS chance and 98% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hobart Utd.
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
6.8%
Hobart Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 22 · avg 1.80/4.40
GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60