GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/28/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Clarence Zebras II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4

Lowconfidence

Hobart Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Clarence Zebras II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras II hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Clarence Zebras II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Clarence Zebras II

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

7.1%

Clarence Zebras II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart Utd.LWWLD

GF 14 · GA 20 · avg 2.80/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Clarence Zebras IIWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart Utd.Clarence Zebras II
75.0Attack77.1
0.0Defence14.6
31.3Form45.8
31.3Power44.4
4.30xG4.50
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