Hobart Cityvs
University of Tasmania
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/4/2026, 4:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Hobart City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while University of Tasmania are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 33.3-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 27.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hobart City
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
7.8%
Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60