GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 6/20/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Lowconfidence

Hobart City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Taroona are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 61.1 against 63.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.2% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

6.2%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityWWLLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TaroonaWDWLL

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart CityTaroona
88.9Attack100.0
40.0Defence51.0
57.8Form58.8
61.1Power63.0
3.03xG3.45
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