GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/23/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Hobart City are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 8.00 conceded, while Taroona are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/8.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
TaroonaW

GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Hobart CityTaroona
85.4Attack100.0
41.7Defence51.0
56.3Form58.8
60.2Power63.0
2.90xG3.36
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