GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/23/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Hobart City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while South Hobart II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while South Hobart II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart II

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

6.6%

South Hobart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
South Hobart IIWWDWW

GF 25 · GA 8 · avg 5.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart CitySouth Hobart II
88.9Attack100.0
40.0Defence56.3
57.8Form79.2
61.1Power73.0
2.61xG3.57
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