GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

Hobart City are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.50 conceded, while South Hobart II are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 5.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while South Hobart II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart II

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

South Hobart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/5.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
South Hobart IIWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 5.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Hobart CitySouth Hobart II
85.4Attack100.0
41.7Defence56.3
56.3Form79.2
60.2Power73.0
2.50xG3.48
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