GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/30/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Lowconfidence

Hobart City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympia Warriors

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

6.3%

Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityLLWWD

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olympia WarriorsWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart CityOlympia Warriors
88.9Attack95.8
40.0Defence43.8
57.8Form66.7
61.1Power66.6
3.43xG3.48
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