GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 6/27/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Lowconfidence

Hobart City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while New Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

6.9%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityDWWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
New TownWLDWW

GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hobart CityNew Town
88.9Attack100.0
40.0Defence64.6
57.8Form66.7
61.1Power71.0
2.14xG3.53
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