GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 6/13/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Hobart City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart City

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

7.3%

Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hobart CityWLLWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Glenorchy Knights U21DLWLL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart CityGlenorchy Knights U21
88.9Attack72.5
40.0Defence0.0
57.8Form21.6
61.1Power26.8
4.50xG2.35
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