Hoang Anh Gia Laivs
Song Lam Nghe An
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 10/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Song Lam Nghe An · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 0-2 Song Lam Nghe An
Original prediction
Song Lam Nghe An
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 30.9% | 27.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.5% | 25.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.6% | 46.8% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Song Lam Nghe An
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Song Lam Nghe An has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80