Hoang Anh Gia Laivs
Hung Yen
COMPLETEDVietnam · Cup · 9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoang Anh Gia Lai · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-3 Hung Yen
Original prediction
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.6% | 38.5% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.4% | 28.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.0% | 32.6% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Hoang Anh Gia Lai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67