Hoang Anh Gia Laivs
Hai Phong
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoang Anh Gia Lai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-3 Hai Phong
Original prediction
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.98 | 30.4% | 36.0% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 28.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.8% | 35.7% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Hoang Anh Gia Lai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00