Ho Chi Minhvs
Viettel
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 10/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ho Chi Minh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ho Chi Minh 1-0 Viettel
Original prediction
Ho Chi Minh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.2% | 41.5% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.5% | 28.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.3% | 30.2% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Ho Chi Minh
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Ho Chi Minh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20