HNK Rijekavs
PAOK
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/21/2025, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Rijeka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
HNK Rijeka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PAOK are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while HNK Rijeka holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HNK Rijeka
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20