HNK Rijekavs
IF elfsborg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
HNK Rijeka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while IF elfsborg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00