GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/27/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

HNK Rijeka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Midtjylland hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (73.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Midtjylland holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Midtjylland

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

14.2%

FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK RijekaDWWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC MidtjyllandWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HNK RijekaFC Midtjylland
33.3Attack83.3
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form100.0
73.7Power86.5
1.22xG1.27
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