GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Raków Częstochowa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (90.7 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Hajduk Split

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

13.0%

HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK Hajduk SplitWDWLL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Raków CzęstochowaWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HNK Hajduk SplitRaków Częstochowa
100.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence91.7
100.0Form83.3
90.7Power80.0
1.48xG1.36
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