HNK Hajduk Splitvs
Raków Częstochowa
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HNK Hajduk Split are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Raków Częstochowa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Hajduk Split hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (90.7 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Hajduk Split holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
13.0%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80