HNK Hajduk Splitvs
NK Varazdin
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Varazdin
Original prediction
HNK Hajduk Split
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.6% | 44.5% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.7% | 27.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.7% | 28.3% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40