HNK Hajduk Splitvs
NK Slaven Belupo
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Hajduk Split 1-0 NK Slaven Belupo
Original prediction
HNK Hajduk Split
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.6% | 51.9% | -18.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.19 | 17.6% | 25.0% | 7.4 pts |
| Away | 7.69 | 11.9% | 23.1% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40