HNK Hajduk Splitvs
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 8/31/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Original prediction
HNK Hajduk Split
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.0% | 52.6% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.8% | 24.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 6.43 | 14.2% | 22.8% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00