UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 10:05
HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split

Home
LW
20
Full time
Žilina

Žilina

Away
WL
Stadion Poljud
GoalVio prediction
66% confidence
HNK Hajduk Split(66%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: HNK Hajduk Split
Win probability
HNK Hajduk Split
66%
Draw
21%
Žilina
12%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
HNK Hajduk Split
54
Žilina
34
Defence
HNK Hajduk Split
66
Žilina
46
Momentum
HNK Hajduk Split
50
Žilina
50
Danger (xG)
HNK Hajduk Split
0.00
Žilina
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (HNK Hajduk Split)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Žilina)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (HNK Hajduk Split)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Žilina)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
LWD
ŽilinaŽilina
WLDL

Probability breakdown

66% confidence
HNK Hajduk Split66%
Draw21%
Žilina12%

HNK Hajduk Split leads with 66% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

HNK Hajduk Split head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at Stadion Poljud in mixed form (LW), while Žilina arrive in mixed form (WL). HNK Hajduk Split have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Žilina over 2 games.

The model rates HNK Hajduk Split's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Žilina defence, and Žilina's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 HNK Hajduk Split backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

HNK Hajduk Split have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Žilina have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

HNK Hajduk Split have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Žilina have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match.

The last 2 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects HNK Hajduk Split to win with 66% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: HNK Hajduk Split 6617%, Draw 2140%, Žilina 1243%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

HNK Hajduk Split 1Draws 01 Žilina
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
HNK Hajduk Split
L12
Žilina
xG 0.00.0
9 Jul 2026
HNK Hajduk Split
W20
Žilina
xG 0.00.0

Recent form

HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split

L
@ Žilina
16 Jul 2026
12
xG 0.0
W
vs Žilina
9 Jul 2026
20
xG 0.0
D
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
16 May 2026
11
Žilina

Žilina

W
vs HNK Hajduk Split
16 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
L
@ HNK Hajduk Split
9 Jul 2026
02
xG 0.0
D
@ Odra Opole
28 Jun 2026
00
L
vs Podbrezová
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

GoalVio's model predicts HNK Hajduk Split to win with 66% confidence.

What is the predicted score for HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more