HNK Hajduk Splitvs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Hajduk Split · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Hajduk Split 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Original prediction
HNK Hajduk Split
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.9% | 41.3% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.4% | 24.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.8% | 34.4% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
HNK Hajduk Split
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
HNK Hajduk Split has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20