Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:12
HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica

Home
WL
02
Full time
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Shakhtar Donetsk33%
HNK Gorica33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
HNK Gorica
33%
Draw
33%
Shakhtar Donetsk
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
HNK Gorica
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
94
Defence
HNK Gorica
66
Shakhtar Donetsk
46
Momentum
HNK Gorica
50
Shakhtar Donetsk
100
Danger (xG)
HNK Gorica
0.45
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (HNK Gorica)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Shakhtar Donetsk)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (HNK Gorica)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Shakhtar Donetsk)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
WLW
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
HNK Gorica33%
Draw33%
Shakhtar Donetsk33%

Shakhtar Donetsk leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

HNK Gorica head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WL), while Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in decent form (WW). HNK Gorica have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Shakhtar Donetsk over 2 games.

Tactically, Shakhtar Donetsk hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid HNK Gorica defence (66/100), while HNK Gorica's attack faces a average Shakhtar Donetsk backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

HNK Gorica have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. Shakhtar Donetsk have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between HNK Gorica and Shakhtar Donetsk in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: HNK Gorica 3333%, Draw 3333%, Shakhtar Donetsk 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica

W
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
16 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Göztepe
13 Jul 2026
02
W
vs NK Osijek
16 May 2026
20
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

W
@ Kryvbas KR
17 May 2026
32
W
vs Obolon'-Brovar
13 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win HNK Gorica vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in HNK Gorica vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in HNK Gorica vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more