HNK Goricavs
Rudes
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Gorica · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Gorica 1-2 Rudes
Original prediction
HNK Gorica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.8% | 47.9% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.9% | 25.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.3% | 27.1% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
HNK Gorica
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
HNK Gorica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60