HNK Goricavs
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Gorica 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Original prediction
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.3% | 31.2% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.7% | 27.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 33.1% | 41.5% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00