HNK Goricavs
HNK Rijeka
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 8/31/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Rijeka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Gorica 0-0 HNK Rijeka
Original prediction
HNK Rijeka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.23 | 17.5% | 26.0% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.8% | 26.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.7% | 47.4% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
HNK Rijeka
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20