Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:14
HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica

Home
WL
21
Full time
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FC St. Pauli33%
HNK Gorica33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
HNK Gorica
33%
Draw
33%
FC St. Pauli
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
HNK Gorica
18
FC St. Pauli
100
Defence
HNK Gorica
66
FC St. Pauli
27
Momentum
HNK Gorica
50
FC St. Pauli
100
Danger (xG)
HNK Gorica
0.45
FC St. Pauli
5.40
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (HNK Gorica)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (FC St. Pauli)
5.40
avg per match
xG against (HNK Gorica)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FC St. Pauli)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
WLW
FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
WL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
HNK Gorica33%
Draw33%
FC St. Pauli33%

FC St. Pauli leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

HNK Gorica head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WL), while FC St. Pauli arrive in mixed form (W). HNK Gorica have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC St. Pauli over 1 games.

The model rates HNK Gorica's attack at 18/100 against a 27/100 FC St. Pauli defence, and FC St. Pauli's attack at 100/100 against a 66/100 HNK Gorica backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

HNK Gorica have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home. FC St. Pauli have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 6.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between HNK Gorica and FC St. Pauli in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: HNK Gorica 3333%, Draw 3333%, FC St. Pauli 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica

W
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
16 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Göztepe
13 Jul 2026
02
W
vs NK Osijek
16 May 2026
20
FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli

W
@ Altona 93
30 Jun 2026
62
L
vs VfL Wolfsburg
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win HNK Gorica vs FC St. Pauli?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for HNK Gorica vs FC St. Pauli?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in HNK Gorica vs FC St. Pauli?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in HNK Gorica vs FC St. Pauli?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more