HNK Cibaliavs
Segesta Sisak
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Cibalia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: HNK Cibalia 0-0 Segesta Sisak, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Cibalia 1-4 Segesta Sisak
Original prediction
HNK Cibalia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.7% | 47.2% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.03 | 22.5% | 23.5% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Projected Score
HNK Cibalia 0–0 Segesta Sisak
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
HNK Cibalia
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
HNK Cibalia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40