HNK Cibaliavs
Orijent 1919
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Cibalia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Cibalia 0-0 Orijent 1919
Original prediction
HNK Cibalia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.9% | 38.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.3% | 26.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.8% | 34.5% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
HNK Cibalia
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
HNK Cibalia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00