HNK Cibaliavs
Kustosija
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Cibalia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HNK Cibalia 0-0 Kustosija
Original prediction
HNK Cibalia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.8% | 39.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.1% | 29.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.1% | 31.1% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
HNK Cibalia
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
HNK Cibalia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00