HNK Cibaliavs
Jarun
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 8/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
HNK Cibalia are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jarun are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Jarun hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the First NL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40