GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 8/12/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Croatia Zmijavci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

HNK Cibalia are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Croatia Zmijavci are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Croatia Zmijavci hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the First NL, while Croatia Zmijavci holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Croatia Zmijavci

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Croatia Zmijavci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HNK CibaliaLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Croatia ZmijavciWWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
HNK CibaliaCroatia Zmijavci
37.4Attack39.4
42.4Defence51.5
37.4Form36.4
41.0Power43.2
1.16xG1.25
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