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Switzerland · Schweizer Cup · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rapperswil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Höngg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rapperswil are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rapperswil hold a 45.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Schweizer Cup, while Rapperswil holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rapperswil

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Rapperswil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HönggWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RapperswilWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HönggRapperswil
33.3Attack44.4
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power61.0
1.56xG2.05
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