Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnhvs
Song Lam Nghe An
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2-2 Song Lam Nghe An
Original prediction
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.6% | 39.1% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 28.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 5.29 | 17.1% | 32.8% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00