Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnhvs
Hai Phong
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2-1 Hai Phong
Original prediction
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.4% | 41.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.1% | 26.9% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.5% | 31.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80