Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnhvs
Bình Phước
COMPLETEDVietnam · V.League 1 · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1-0 Bình Phước
Original prediction
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.9% | 40.3% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 28.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.4% | 31.1% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60