GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/21/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Hünfelder SV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

73.8%

Model confidence

73.8%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hünfelder SVDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WaldgirmesWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Hünfelder SVWaldgirmes
75.0Attack47.1
58.3Defence25.5
75.0Form39.2
70.9Power39.6
3.39xG1.20
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