GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/23/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hünfelder SV are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hünfelder SVWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgDDWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hünfelder SVVfb Marburg
75.0Attack50.0
58.3Defence66.7
75.0Form66.7
70.9Power64.8
1.94xG1.44
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