GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/17/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hünfelder SV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hünfelder SVLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hünfelder SVVfb Marburg
75.0Attack50.0
58.3Defence66.7
75.0Form66.7
70.9Power64.8
1.94xG1.44
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