GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/4/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hünfelder SV are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fernwald are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hünfelder SVLDDDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hünfelder SVFernwald
75.0Attack41.7
58.3Defence58.3
75.0Form41.7
70.9Power48.8
2.19xG1.28
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