GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/7/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Hünfelder SV are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

75.4%

Model confidence

75.4%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hünfelder SVLLWWW

GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hünfelder SVFC 1906 Erlensee
75.0Attack41.2
58.3Defence30.4
75.0Form26.5
70.9Power34.5
3.23xG1.03
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