GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/9/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hünfelder SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hünfelder SV are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hünfelder SV holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hünfelder SV

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Hünfelder SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hünfelder SVDWDWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hünfelder SVBayern Alzenau
75.0Attack44.4
58.3Defence44.4
75.0Form22.2
70.9Power40.2
2.51xG1.29
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