Hønefossvs
Tromsdalen Uil
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hønefoss 2-1 Tromsdalen Uil
Original prediction
Hønefoss
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.8% | 62.5% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 18.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.3% | 19.0% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00