Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KFUM Oslo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hønefoss 0-2 KFUM Oslo
Original prediction
KFUM Oslo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.00 | 15.2% | 25.3% | 10.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.13 | 17.8% | 22.6% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 67.0% | 52.2% | -14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
KFUM Oslo
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
KFUM Oslo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HønefossWWDWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KFUM OsloWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HønefossKFUM Oslo
33.3Attack83.3
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form75.0
15.3Power69.6
1.86xG2.91