Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hluk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hluk 2-2 Holešov
Original prediction
Hluk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.1% | 49.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.6% | 22.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.3% | 28.8% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hluk
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Hluk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HlukWWDWD
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HolešovDLDWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HlukHolešov
100.0Attack61.1
50.0Defence61.1
61.1Form50.0
66.8Power57.8
2.26xG1.64