CupCup
Thursday, 30 July 202617:00Updated today
Hluboka nad Vltavou

Hluboka nad Vltavou

Home
W
vs
17:00
Spartak Soběslav

Spartak Soběslav

Away
D
Fotbalovy stadion
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Hluboka nad Vltavou(51%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Hluboka nad Vltavou
51%
Draw
22%
Spartak Soběslav
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hluboka nad Vltavou
94
Spartak Soběslav
9
Defence
Hluboka nad Vltavou
66
Spartak Soběslav
91
Momentum
Hluboka nad Vltavou
100
Spartak Soběslav
33
Danger (xG)
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.70
Spartak Soběslav
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.51 xG for Hluboka nad Vltavou and 1.65 xG for Spartak Soběslav — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Hluboka nad Vltavou holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.16 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Hluboka nad Vltavou)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Spartak Soběslav)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Hluboka nad Vltavou)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Spartak Soběslav)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hluboka nad VltavouHluboka nad Vltavou
WD
Spartak SoběslavSpartak Soběslav
D

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Hluboka nad Vltavou51%
Draw22%
Spartak Soběslav27%

Hluboka nad Vltavou leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Hluboka nad Vltavou Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Hluboka nad Vltavou host Spartak Soběslav in Cup. Hluboka nad Vltavou have recorded WWWWLW in recent matches while Spartak Soběslav arrive with a run of WDWWDW. These sides have met 6 times recently, averaging 2.3 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.51 expected goals for Hluboka nad Vltavou against 1.65 for Spartak Soběslav — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Hluboka nad Vltavou have kept 2 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. Hluboka nad Vltavou's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 60% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.

Why GoalVio backs this

Hluboka nad Vltavou are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.51 projected against 1.65 for Spartak Soběslav. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.87 is the clearest signal in the model that Hluboka nad Vltavou are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Spartak Soběslav have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Spartak Soběslav carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Spartak Soběslav are in decent form with 4 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 6 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Recent form

Hluboka nad Vltavou

Hluboka nad Vltavou

W
@ Slavoj Český Krumlov
10 Jun 2026
31
D
@ TJ Přeštice
16 May 2026
00
Spartak Soběslav

Spartak Soběslav

D
@ Křimice
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Spartak Soběslav?

GoalVio's model predicts Hluboka nad Vltavou to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Spartak Soběslav?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Spartak Soběslav?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Spartak Soběslav?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more