HK Kopavogurvs
Fylkir
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HK Kopavogur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HK Kopavogur 2-1 Fylkir
Original prediction
HK Kopavogur
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 33.3% | 44.5% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.4% | 18.9% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 43.4% | 36.6% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
HK Kopavogur
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
HK Kopavogur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20